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小额比特币钱包数量预计将激增9%,投资者持续囤积,期待突破10万美元大关

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比特币市场新动向:小规模投资者热情高涨,长期持币者悄然减持

近期,比特币市场迎来了新的动态。据加密分析师及CryptoQuant贡献者Axel Adler的预测,未来几周内,持有不到1 BTC的比特币钱包数量将激增近9%。这一增长趋势主要得益于小规模投资者对比特币的持续积累,尽管比特币价格已经突破了10万美元大关,但他们的投资热情并未因此减退。

Adler在12月14日的X平台发文中,形象地称这些持币者为“虾”(shrimps)。他表示:“尽管被称为‘虾’,但他们对比特币的增长充满信心,并继续在当前的价格水平下积累比特币。”同时,Adler指出,持有不到1 BTC的“虾钱包”是衡量零售投资者对比特币兴趣的关键指标。目前,已有32.3万个虾钱包地址,且预计这一数字将在短期内增长8.67%,达到35.1万个。值得注意的是,虾钱包的增长始于比特币价格为61,000美元时,当时的地址数量仅为26.5万个。这表明,随着比特币价格的上涨,越来越多的零售投资者正在积极加入比特币市场。

然而,与此同时,长期持币者——即持有比特币至少155天的投资者——则开始减持他们的持仓。12月9日的报告显示,长期持币者在过去30天内售出了827,783个BTC。这可能表明市场情绪正在发生转变,一些投资者开始选择落袋为安。

对于这一市场现象,分析师们持不同观点。一些分析师认为,长期持币者近期的抛售可能标志着市场的顶部已经形成,如果买盘需求持续减弱,市场情绪可能会转为看跌。然而,Bitfinex的分析师则持更为乐观的态度。他们认为,比特币近期的价格下跌不太可能像12月初经历的10%跌幅那样严重。随着实现利润和卖压的减少,未来的调整可能会更为温和。

除了比特币市场的内部动态外,外部世界也在积极拥抱这一新兴资产。最近,温哥华市议会正式通过了一项动议,探讨成为比特币友好城市的可能性。这一提案由市长Ken Sim提出,并在市议会会议中讨论通过。提案内容包括评估接受比特币支付税费和其他费用的可行性,以及将温哥华一部分财政储备转化为数字资产。这一举措标志着加密货币正在逐步融入城市金融生态系统。

与此同时,企业投资者对比特币的信心也在不断增长。本周一,商业智能巨头MicroStrategy再次迈出重要一步,购买了21,550个比特币,花费约21亿美元。通过此次购买,MicroStrategy目前持有的比特币数量已达到423,650个,市值约为420亿美元。这一举动无疑为比特币市场注入了更多的信心。

此外,位于华盛顿特区的公共政策研究中心也呼吁亚马逊考虑采用以比特币为重点的企业财库战略。这一建议进一步表明,比特币正在逐渐得到主流企业和机构的认可。

综上所述,比特币市场正在经历一系列新的动态变化。小规模投资者的热情高涨、长期持币者的减持、城市政府的积极拥抱以及企业投资者的信心增长,都预示着比特币市场未来的发展方向将更加多元化和复杂化。

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